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Jeffrey B Arnold

Research Interests

Political Methodology and International Relations


My research is in the fields of political methodology and international relations. In international relations, I am interested in a range of topics including the relationship between conflict and financial markets, quantitative models of battles and casualties, and measuring war. Methodologically, I am interested in Bayesian statistical methods, state space models, and machine learning. I maintain several R packages (ggthemes, pollstR), and contribute to Stan. Prior to coming to the UW, I was an Instructor of Political Science at Emory University, and an assistant economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. I completed a PhD (ABD) in Political Science at the University of Rochester, and have a BA in Economics and Government from Dartmouth College.